- CACTUS by Paul Simmons
- Posts
- Bullish on Political Coins 🤔
Bullish on Political Coins 🤔
The longest issue of Cactus to date with a total of three articles. Do political tokens even have a chance of being considered after the US election? A deep dive! Plus another Bitcoin analysis and a memecoin update.
are we back chat?

GM Readers 🌄
This time again with a jam-packed issue on the latest developments in crypto and memecoins. It was the first week of Uptober and well, what can we say. It was mixed.
We don't really like to talk about global politics in this newsletter, but since this event has a significant impact on the market, we have to mention it: The war between Iran and Israel. Iran has officially declared war on Israel after the latter fired over 300 missiles at Israel at once. This happened after Israel launched a ground offensive in neighboring Lebanon. When the news came through that Iran had launched said missiles, the Bitcoin price plummeted. From $65k to a low of $59.9k within 24 hours. In this mini-crash, Bitcoin took both ETH and Solana with it. Surprisingly, however, memecoins were relatively stable. Some even managed to stay in the green and not dip. So it was a mixed start to the uptober. In the longer term, however, the $BTC chart still looks extremely bullish. A short-term analysis can be found below.
Coin | Price |
|---|---|
Bitcoin | $62.580 |
Ethereum | $2.446 |
Solana | $145 |
Jupiter | $0,78 |
Orca | $2,33 |
Uniswap | $6,97 |
There wasn't much movement this week, except for the thing after the rocket attack, it was rather quiet. Next week could be important to see if we can hold the support area.
All in all, it's funny to see everyone on social media panicking and canceling uptober just because it goes down for three days. Good that the people with too much emotion have now been shaken out of the market. Q4 is ready to do a gigapump. We are hungry, we hope you are too.
But funny things also happened this week. For example, HBO claims to have discovered the real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto in its new documentary 🤣🤣
Ha, the mainstream media are sometimes so easily gullible ahahaha.
LFG 🚀
need a new financial advisor
— wallstreetbets (@wallstreetbets)
7:32 PM • Oct 3, 2024
can anyone confirm??????
— kook ☪️ (@KookCapitalLLC)
10:27 AM • Oct 5, 2024
i̴t̴'s̴ ̴s̴o̴ ̴o̴v̴e̴r̴
we're so back
#Bitcoin— Cactus (@cactustothemoon)
4:26 PM • Oct 3, 2024
Do political tokens have a chance of survival after the US election?
It's less than a month away. The most important election in the history of America is coming up. At this point (before we really get into the subject) we hope that all readers from the USA have already registered to vote. If not, do it now! Every vote counts!

It is not a secret that Harris is critical of crypto and may even be planning further restrictions on the market. Meaning if she is elected, the entire market could turn bearish (at least in the short term). But some kind of memecoins might not have a long chance of survival anyway... Political tokens.
With Polymarket you can already bet on the US election. But if you want to make it even more exciting, buy memecoins on the two candidates (who are not directly linked to them, by the way). For example, there are $TREMP and $KAMA, two coins whose only identity is to post memes about the respective candidates. And those were just two examples. There are a lot of tokens that do this.
It's basically nothing more than a bet with a bit more risk. However, we don't believe that these tokens will manage to take over in the long term. After the election, there could be a giga pump (or dump) and then a rapid sell-off, with people who got in too late suffering a total loss. And such projects are not small, some have huge volumes. For example $TRUMP (MAGA) with an MKT of almost $150 million and over 23k holders.

Backing candidates before the election, ok. But what happens after the election? The bets on Polymarket are paid out automatically. With coins, you have to actively decide to sell or hold. The question is, does it even make sense to hold?
How good are the projects at keeping the community's interest high after the election? The winning candidate's coins might have a future because they have a person in their branding who has become the most important person in the world and can produce content about their decisions throughout their time in office.
But if you bet on the candidate who loses, you can pretty much write off the project. Because then what else do you want to post? The content runs out and you can't easily change your name and branding. In the worst case, this person disappears completely from the public eye. The risk is not small that these projects can then really fall to zero.

Our opinion: You may have already noticed... Personally, we are not in favor of political coins. If you want to bet on the election, you should do it directly (for example on Polymarket) but not “indirectly” with any tokens. In addition, there are an infinite number of them - which horse do you want to bet on $TREMP, $TRUMP, $MAGA, $RTR? We don't begrudge anyone who trades these coins their profits and are happy to be convinced otherwise. However, we advise caution, especially with political tokens.
Trump will become the crypto president. He wants to officially introduce Bitcoin as a monetary reserve for the USA, while Harris wants to further restrict the market. If you want to read more about Trump and why it is so important for crypto that he wins, then read our issue on this topic
More Plays for Uptober: These Memecoins are pumping!

In our last special edition, we already introduced some coins that you should definitely keep an eye on during Uptober, as they show incredible potential. If you missed that edition, we'll link it for you. Now, let's continue here. Of course, we have more tips on our list that we'd love to share with you. We've spent the entire last week searching for trending projects on X that promise high potential. So, let's dive right in (our list is long).

Let’s start with $BONK. Most of you who have been in the memecoin space for a while should already be familiar with Bonk. It’s no longer considered just a memecoin but rather a “culture coin.” We’ll explain the difference in a future edition. For now, let’s focus on the project itself. With over $1.9B market cap and nearly 775k holders, the project has reached an absurd scale. Bonk is available on many retail trading platforms like Robinhood, Revolut, and Coinbase, which adds further liquidity. Born from the desire to rejuvenate the Solana community post-FTX collapse, $BONK embodies community spirit with its playful take on memecoins. Unlike typical memecoins, Bonk boasts real utility with over 135 integrations across DeFi, gaming, and more, turning the token into a functional part of the Solana ecosystem. From a Christmas airdrop in 2022 to becoming a symbol of resurgence within Solana, Bonk's narrative is one of community-driven success. It's not just about the price spikes; it's about creating a story where every holder feels like part of something bigger.

Bobo the Bear, the arch-enemy of every bull—or perhaps the most bullish coin of this season? Because this meme is unique. Even though they use a bear as their symbol, some are incredibly bullish on this coin in a way they aren’t on many other things. But why? The bear is often seen as the enemy by many communities. Bobo, as a character, appears in memes from various projects, even when they aren’t directly connected. Achieving this kind of crossover success as a memecoin, where your character is used across different platforms by others, is a huge accomplishment. This means they don’t even have to do much marketing themselves; others take care of that for them. They primarily repost the memes created by others on social media. $BOBO is built on ETH, the chart is solid, and with a market cap of around $60 million, it is definitely undervalued. It’s a good entry point and definitely worth a look.
Bullish on the Bear 🐻

$SUNDOG, the TRON-based memecoin that's capturing the crypto community's imagination with its meteoric rise. Launched amidst a flurry of excitement, $SUNDOG isn't just riding the wave of meme culture; it's setting the pace with a community-driven ethos that's hard to ignore. What sets $SUNDOG apart is not just its price action but its community engagement. With features like a deflationary model and listings on platforms like HoudiniSwap, $SUNDOG is making moves towards mass adoption, promising ease of access across multiple blockchain interfaces. The community's active participation, from social media buzz to real-world partnerships, underscores $SUNDOG's potential as more than just another memecoin; it's becoming a symbol of what memecoins can achieve when backed by a dedicated following.

Retardio isn't just about market trends; it's a cultural phenomenon wrapped in a token, thriving on the power of memes, and the community's shared ethos. Its journey began with the release of 4444 NFTs, known as the Retardio Cousins, setting the stage for a project where every token holder feels like part of an extended, albeit chaotic, family. The token's branding and community engagement reflect a playful, irreverent spirit, often seen in posts across social platforms like X. With initiatives like the Retardio Casino, it's clear that entertainment and community interaction are at the heart of Retardio's strategy. Market-wise, Retardio has shown it can ride the waves of volatility, with recent figures indicating a market cap that places it among the notable Solana memecoins.

'Sigma' has gained traction across social platforms for a while now. It describes men who are not only successful and well-liked but also possess a quiet, defiant streak. Sigma males are seen as being on par with Alphas in terms of status, yet they opt to exist outside the conventional social hierarchy. The community backing this coin is incredibly active and passionate. This project adheres to a rigorous branding approach on social media, which significantly boosts its visibility. Their X profile is a hub for daily 'sigma' themed edits, crafted to go viral, which indeed they do, resonating well with the audience and fostering steady growth. The project even catches the eye of major influencers within the memecoin space now and then. With a market cap of nearly $20 million, this project has already achieved a significant size, but its full potential is still far from being realized. In essence, this coin represents a solid piece for any portfolio.

$POPCAT has rapidly carved out a niche within the Solana ecosystem, showcasing how viral internet phenomena can translate into significant market movements. Its journey from a modest market cap to becoming the first cat-themed memecoin to hit a billion-dollar valuation illustrates the speculative fervor and community backing that can propel meme coins to prominence. $POPCAT's market performance, marked by its recent surge and all-time high, reflects not just the token's popularity but also the broader optimism around Solana's memecoin ecosystem. With over 71k holders (rising strongly every day), the project is in the fast lane. This project should not be underestimated and actually belongs in every good memecoin portfolio.

Time for some skibidi gyatt rizz mewing. Yeah, I'm pretty brain rod.
There is not much to say about this project because it is still relatively young and unknown. But that's what makes it so bullish. With currently only around 2k holders and a market cap of $1.8m, this project is a great opportunity to get in early. They post actively on X and are currently in the process of building a strong community. This project is ready to take off! Solid Meme. Solid Supporters. Keep an eye on it 👀

One more to go: $LUCI
In addition to Uptober, it is also the month of Halloween and therefore also the month of the devil. With an art style that could be compared to that of $FWOG, Luci is ready to shake up the market in the coming weeks. Less than 30 days old, already a market cap of over $2 million and just under 3k holders, this project is currently enjoying strong support. In their Telegram group they regularly share new art around the character of the coin which the community can then post on social media. The community strongly supports the project and pushes Luci's posts, especially on X, to bring even more awareness to this coin. They are also already listed on Moonshot, which could mean upcoming liquidity from newbies. $LUCI is therefore a good tip for Halloween month. We are looking forward to the price movements on October 31st 🎃

Bitcoin Market Analyse

Market Overview:
As of today, Bitcoin's price action has captured the attention of the market with its approach to the $64k threshold. This level is proving to be a significant psychological and technical barrier for Bitcoin.
Technical Analysis:
- Price Movement: Bitcoin has been consolidating just below $64k, indicating a potential battleground between bulls and bears. This consolidation could precede a significant price movement, depending on who wins this tug-of-war.
- Support and Resistance: Immediate resistance is established around $64.5k. Breaking this could open the path toward $70k, which remains a psychological and technical milestone for Bitcoin. Support levels to watch are around $62k, where Bitcoin might find a footing if a pullback occurs.
- Volume and Momentum: The trading volume has been moderate, suggesting neither overwhelming buying nor selling pressure. Momentum indicators like RSI are hovering in neutral territory, not indicating an immediate overbought or oversold condition, which leaves room for movement in either direction.
Sentiment Analysis:
- Futures Market: From insights gathered, there's a cautious optimism brewing in the futures market. This sentiment leans towards expecting some upward movement, but traders are also prepared for volatility.
Strategic Takeaways:
- For Traders: Keep a close watch on volume changes as Bitcoin tests the $64.5k resistance. A confirmed breakout with increasing volume could be a signal for entering long positions. Conversely, failure to break through might suggest preparing for short opportunities or setting tight stop-losses.
- Long-term Investors: This moment could be seen as a test of Bitcoin's short-term price resilience. For those with a long-term view, the current price action might offer strategic entry points, especially if the market sentiment shifts more decisively bullish.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin stands at a crossroads at the $64k level. Whether it will surge past this to test new highs or retreat to consolidate further remains to be seen. This analysis period is crucial for setting the tone for Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. Happy Trading.



Worth Mentioning:
HBO claims to have discovered the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto in a new documentary. Our bet: Something to do with Russia, China and evil internet money 🤣
$POPCAT reaches a new all-time high with a market capitalization of over $1.2B 😼
🇪🇺 Due to political restrictions in the EU, Coinbase has to delist USDT in certain regions
Next Issue:

- Social Media Sentiment: Discussions on X reveal a mix of anticipation and caution. While many are hopeful for a breakout above $64k, there's also a recognition of the potential for a sharp correction if this level does not hold as support.